Bitcoin's Historical September Low May Already Be Priced In

Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 Bitcoin has surpassed $116000, Ethereum has risen to $4500, SOL has surpassed $230... The cryptocurrency market has experienced a surge across the board. Is there an opportunity or a trap behind this capital feast? On the morning of September 12th, the cryptocurrency market experienced a rapid rise. Bitcoin briefly broke through $116000, Ethereum broke through $4500, and SOL also broke through the $230 mark. This carnival is not accidental. The lower than expected Producer Price Index (PPI) in August in the United States has led to a sharp increase in market expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, driving a large influx of funds into risk assets. 01 The market is all red, with Bitcoin leading the rise in the cryptocurrency market In today's skyrocketing cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin undoubtedly played a leading role. According to HTX market data, on the morning of September 12th, Bitcoin briefly broke through $116000 and then stabilized around $115910. Not only has Bitcoin performed outstandingly, but mainstream altcoins have also followed suit. Ethereum has surpassed $4500 and is now priced at $4505; SOL has surpassed $230 and is now quoted at $231.83. The market presents a prosperous scene. 02 Expected interest rate cuts boost capital inflows into risky assets Behind this surge is the strong market expectation for a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The lower than expected PPI data for August in the United States further strengthened market expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. According to the FedWatch tool of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the market expects a 90% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at its September 17th meeting. Traditionally, interest rate cuts have been seen as positive news for risk assets. Cryptocurrency analysis platform Tephra Digital pointed out that if Bitcoin continues to maintain a "lagging correlation" with M2 money supply and gold prices, its price may rise to the range of $167000 to $185000 before the end of the year. 03 Bull market mature stage, peak may be approaching CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that it has been 504 days since the last Bitcoin halving, and the current market is in a mature bull market stage. In this cycle, the price of Bitcoin has experienced multiple fluctuations. The final determination of the peak of the cycle needs to wait for the emergence of the "peak flag" indicator, which is usually triggered when the spot price is about 11 times the realized price of long-term holders, and is expected to appear as early as October to November 2025. 04 The persistence of the encryption feast, market views are now divided Faced with the current hot cryptocurrency market, the most concerned question for investors is undoubtedly: how long can this feast last? There is a clear divergence of market views on this matter. Some analysts believe that the cryptocurrency market may follow a "three-stage script": short-term (next 3-4 weeks) turbulence and correction may occur; In the medium term (from the fourth quarter of 2025 to the first quarter of 2026), there will be a liquidity driven market; Long term (starting from the first quarter of 2026) may face inflation risks and policy reversals. However, the cyclical pattern of the cryptocurrency market indicates that each bull market follows a specific pattern: starting from the accumulation phase, experiencing an acceleration phase, and finally entering a correction phase. The explosive period that can truly bring substantial returns is often concentrated in just one or two months. The influx of funds driven by the expectation of interest rate cuts, the continuous entry of institutional investors, and the pro cryptocurrency policy inclination of the Trump administration collectively constitute the support for this round of rise. The cyclical pattern of the market indicates that bull markets typically follow a specific pattern: from an accumulation phase to an acceleration phase, and finally entering a correction phase. The opportunities in the cryptocurrency market are often fleeting, especially during critical periods that may change the wealth landscape in the short term. However, the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and uncertain. Any investment decision should be based on in-depth research and risk assessment. While pursuing high returns, it is also important to fully recognize the potential risks that may be faced. Operation suggestion: BTC 115150 long first target watch 116650 second target watch 117800; ETH 4505 long, first target at 4565, second target at 4630. Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.

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OKX-OKB/USDT is currently trading at $199.79, with a 5-minute increase of 1.43%. Please be aware of market fluctuations.