Speech community live broadcast: Is CPI on the charts tonight? The market shock is imminent, are you ready! Live streaming room layout real-time single

Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 Tonight at 20:30, the United States will release its August CPI (Consumer Price Index) data. This report is undoubtedly the most important economic indicator before the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week, and is likely to trigger severe fluctuations in the global market. What is the market expecting? 【 Market Expectations 】 The overall CPI monthly rate is expected to rise by 0.3%, and the annual rate is expected to climb from 2.7% in July to 2.9%. The monthly rate of core CPI (excluding food and energy) is also expected to increase by 0.3%, while the annual rate may remain at a high level of 3.1%. These expectations themselves indicate the market's concern about the resurgence of inflation. If the actual data is higher than expected, especially if core inflation strengthens beyond expectations, it may completely overturn the market's judgment of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and even affect next week's interest rate decision. Goldman Sachs economists even predict that the monthly core CPI rate may reach 0.36%, with an annual rate rising to 3.13%. The game behind the data Despite concerns about inflation stickiness in the market, the Producer Price Index (PPI) released last night unexpectedly weakened, with a month on month decrease of 0.1% and a year-on-year growth rate of 2.6% lower than expected. This brought a breath of relief to the market and intensified the long short game. Traders are closely monitoring data to determine the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Trump has put pressure on the Federal Reserve, stating after the release of PPI data that there is "no inflation" and demanding that Powell "must immediately cut interest rates significantly". This highlights the political pressure behind the data. Possible market reactions If CPI is higher than expected, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to slow down interest rate cuts or even remain inactive will sharply rise. This may boost the US dollar, suppress US stocks (especially technology stocks), and push up US bond yields. Gold may face short-term pressure. If CPI meets or falls below expectations: Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rate cuts will be consolidated. Risk assets may receive a boost, the US dollar may weaken, and gold is expected to continue its upward trend (currently approaching historical highs). How should investors respond Faced with potential market shocks, investors may consider: - Be cautious in holding positions: avoid excessive leverage and reserve sufficient margin to prevent reverse fluctuations. Pay attention to hedging: Consider using traditional safe haven assets such as gold and US bonds to hedge risks. Flexible adjustment: After the data is released, do not blindly chase the rise and kill the fall, closely monitor market sentiment and the subsequent statements of Federal Reserve officials. Tonight's CPI data is undoubtedly a calm before a storm. It is not only related to short-term trends, but may also affect the market's repricing of the Federal Reserve's policy path. No matter what the data is, a huge earthquake is coming. Are you ready? Operation suggestion: - BTC 113300 long, first target view 114450, second target view 115650; ETH 4325 long, first target is 4380, second target is 4430. Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.